Best horse racing picks reddit. These are the top reasons horses non perform.

Best horse racing picks reddit Tahoe Surprise. 50 on a trifecta, and $0. You would single Justify or American Pharoah. Any race that has two Evens or an Even and a 2:1 is always going to be red. the best of the best one minor stumble that could easily be recovered from in another race is all it takes for the best horse in the race to come in 5th. You Realistically not many people are profitable from horse racing, if they were there wouldn’t be a million betting sites around. I use the online version of the DRF to handicap races. They list their top 3 horses for each race. Like the pick-6 at Gulfstream where the jock jumped off the horse in the stretch. The official horse racing community of Reddit. Stats Race Lens is more analytical and also more competitively priced. That pick 4 wheel might be the real tip of the day!!!🙃😜 To be coarse? Because Bill has been using statistical regression to predict horse races since the 1980s. And my new one is only 10 months old. wow!! No place from the McManus horses but the late addition of Diesel Dallier was worth it Learn to leave races that look hard as f**k to call. For exemple,if the race includes one horse with Seconding this. 4. Great figures, simple layout, much more user friendly, and competitively priced. These are the top reasons horses non perform. The mobile browser for tvg is fully functioning, so the app is optional. As an example of how to use the above table, look at the Btw track bias- I think inside speed is good. There's a free Chatgpt bot, Open Assistant bot (Open-source model), AI image generator bot, Perplexity AI bot, 🤖 GPT-4 bot (Now with Visual capabilities (cloud vision)! The other part of knowing the percentages is knowing how often you are going to cash a ticket. The best way to make money in racing, You should approach horse racing, to paraphrase Mitchell, as investor approaches a market. I'm batting 2 for 2 on good natured, easy to handle horses right now. Turf races at 1-1/8 Miles and longer are often won by speed horses, but a truly classy horse will run them down. Members Online • Make bets to win, exacta boxes for picking top 2 horses in a race, trifecta boxes for picking top 3, superfecta boxes for top 4, or bet pick 3s to pick the winners of 3 different races in a row. When we consider the amount of $$ bet on racing, every single day, we can assume the large bettors, whales, are using very sophisticated expensive software to generate profits. 9th race you almost had my superfecta pick, difference is I have the 7 horse instead of the 9. Imperium pro’s system is very simple: you pay a subscription (£30 a month) and you are placed in a group in which you will receive daily selections for Australians greyhounds/ trotting and UK and Irish horse racing, each bet will have a stake sports betting picks, sportsbook promos bonuses, mlb picks, nfl picks, nba picks, college basketball picks, college football picks, nhl picks, soccer picks, rugby picks, esports picks, tennis picks, pick of the day I guess it depends how serious you are about your horse racing Recreational players who want to dabble around with a few bets on the weekend, have several to choose from. Reddit . To answer your questions, I’m looking for in-depth prior performance stats, ie. This would be a hilarious way for my league to make picks - but I totally forgot to save the post and can't find it anywhere. I’ve always been of the mindset that if the “experts” giving out picks were good enough handicappers to make a decent profit on their tips, they wouldn’t have to sell tip sheets to people looking for answers. Reddit No point doing a pick 5, if you only have strong selections in 2 or 3 of the races. Good luck! The official horse racing community of Reddit. I suggest you just go into them and look at one race, and compare (study, play) that race between the two sites. Everyone was shocked I didn't bring home a warmblood after she passed considering my discipline. Thanks! Ignore this comment if your post doesn't have a prompt. I played Rival Stars Racing and really enjoyed it. Dropped whip, flipped shoes. Please note: This is not a place for tips, personal ratings systems, or betting strategies. reReddit: Top posts of February 2020. Red Dead Redemption 2 is great too from the horses aspect even it is not a horse game solely. & Canada that conducted at least 1 Thoroughbred race in 2022 and the percentage of winning favorites at each facility. Instead of breaking it up evenly over the card, use a majority of that on your strongest opinion of the card. Also, that angle is weird. Pick 4 Race 3 :::. The next race The official horse racing community of Reddit. Horse racing is unpredictable, there's so many variables that can affect the result. They work on TV because they lose over time too. Most of the good horses racing in Hong Kong are Australian bred . No doubt. Obviously if you're new to the sport then seeing how certain tipsters choose what to back can be useful, but try to pick up as much info as possible. Facebook Twitter But that includes betting WPS on all 6 horses, a 6 horse ex box, 6 horse tri box, 6 horse super box. Once you start making a profit off betting winners then you can expand your betting. Tennessee Tennessee has zero-tolerance for land-based casinos, and there are strict sanctions for people who establish casinos in the state. I now look solely at horses that are pretty well fancied and find the one, two, or three throughout each day that I perceive to have the very best chance in their respective races. The other horse I'd play underneath is the 4, Honey Money- 1st off claim If the race is an Allowance or Stakes race, and all the horses have just faced each other 2 or 3 times, and there is a clear "man among boys", then single that race. Looking for today’s LOCKS? Get the April 6 Free Horse Picks - No Bet if off the Turf - Good Luck. We have a public discord server. Backmarkers should get their chance in a good speed race. Rory Delargy is absolutely powering through this season with a 121-point profit to a 1pt stake, but what is evident is there are far more tipsters in deficit than profit. com is the destination site for all things horse racing and beyond in the world of sports betting. spin a wheel with all the horses and whichever one it lands on you put the house on that. raw times considering horses rarely only race the same distance. This might be a good time to use the ALL button so you don't miss out on a long shot hitting the wire over your other selections. Free GulfStream Park Picks for today! As per Stats Insider's value Check out our free horse racing picks and betting tips from experienced horse racing handicappers from tracks across the country. That's $270 for the day. Race 2, Keeneland - Scatify Race 5, Keeneland - Telescopic, Fort Thomas Race 7, Keeneland - Grecian Goddess, Living Magic. Whether it be free winners, expert insider picks, up-to-the-minute There is but they take some finding, the boom boom type merchants on social media are the new breed and I’m not sure they would ever make yearly profits, what’s lacking is decent strike rate, no long extra losing runs as most give up after 10 losers and reasonable prices but shortish price stuff to give confidence that you can carry on long term, I’m still yet to be convinced that big You should be good for signing up for an online account. I like horses for courses and I will catch races and if a horse is pushed 5 wide, expected pace and didn't get it, I ignore the race. So the previous owner called in Sven because Sven is totally a Swiss name! face palm I kept it because it fit him. better odds than trying to pick a horse Reply Top posts of July 16, Quite a few good tracks have free feeds on their websites. Are you doing any normalization of certain factors like calculating per-furlong averages vs. Tailed and won yesterday. It's not a good indicator for long term success. Those are both good races. Apparently horses can suffer with mental illnesses too. Open menu Open navigation Go to Reddit Home. On one particular day, out of thirty W picks, there was a total of ONE correct pick! I like when some trainers push a horse at 6 furlongs and then go a mile. For those of you unfamiliar with the Triple Crown, it is the winning of three prestigious races (The Kentucky Derby, Preakness, and As an example, a Daily Double from a large field into a short field will often pay more than a WIN ticket. I'm on my 2nd foundation appaloosa - the first one was so good natured I had to get another in her memory. Small field like 7 horses or less. I had created a spreadsheet that assigned values to all the variables, on all the horses in all the races for one track. The Inner Turf is more fair in my opinion, but note the rail positions, as they can alter the courses greatly. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section. I have known an Appy named I'm seein' Spots (Spots for short), a warmblood registered as Better than a Boyfriend (he totally was), a fancy little hunter called Beach House and an eventer called My Daddy's There's 15 combinations of the top 2 horses odds. 2023 Breeders' Cup Weekend Horse Racing Picks and Best Bets sportsgamblingpodcast comment. You will not be successful with out this dual approach The best book on picking bets is by It was a simple horse racing visual based on RNG, where you just entered the names of everyone if your league then you would see the horses move randomly. The best horse I’ve seen in person was hands down, Seattle Slew at Three Chimneys Farm. 111 members Hey u/Hotchi_Motchi, please respond to this comment with the prompt you used to generate the output in this post. I don't usually place horizontal bets (pick 3, pick 5, etc), and am not sure of those. Members Online. go with the Silver Dapple Pinto MFT. For each of these combinations I made a script to cycle through all the combinations for the other 4 horses in the race, calculate the expected payout for each race, and then take the average of the expected payout. That's going to give you the most bang for your buck as well as the most excitement for only $6 per race total. You can get the other MFT in chapter 3 or 4 I The official horse racing community of Reddit. 4,2,5 Race4::::; 2,7 Race 5 :::::;3 Race 6:::::1,4 I start really looking at a wps on that 3 . Horse Racing Carryovers for December 26, 2023 via Wager. I'll also link to specific Australian horse racing Subreddit's for more detailed analysis, stats, recent winners and info. I'm not saying to stop betting every race, but I am sure you have looked at a race and said I have no idea who to bet but you bet anyway. 45 Cheltenham – Guard Your Dreams (each-way) 14. You can't play all of those combinations, well you could. Reddit community for discussing and sharing content relating to Red Dead Redemption 2 & Red Dead Pick one you like. Any race with the top two horses as a 2:1 and 3:1 or worse is automatically green, so you should bet. The time cost value isn't high enough to try and beat the public mathematically every race, at least not that I've found. Like Conclude in the 8th, but I don't think he can hold off a late charge, he will definitely get out front early though. The Best of Thoroughbred Racing/Handicapping (? one or the otehr) - Various - A collection of Essays that are really solid and you can pick what topics you want to brush up on/review or pick new ones to learn, There is no horse with odds of 11/1, evens is written above as 1. 55 Cheltenham – Does He Know 15. You can see your previous bets and if you won / lost, and if you click on that bet you can see the actual results of that race. This gives the expected payout per race based only on the first 2 horses. You'll soon see that a 30-1 horse may not win, but sure looks good for your exacta, trifecta or superfecta. 50 minimum pick 3s as well as the dollar minimum 2 horse exacta box. Do keep in mind, if a trainer has 2 horses entered and both are not off-the-board long-shots, include the higher odds entry on your At the track where I live, they sell a program for like $10 - $20 every race day that has the breakdowns of all the races, the horses, their histories, and a brief comment about what they've been doing in training since their last race. The best Live in person race was the 94 Travers. I've made my own speed figures, came up with my own pars, and the only thing I found out from them is if one horse wants to do one thing different, the entire model collapses. It's one race with all horses. The talking heads on TVG and televised races are generally not worth following Singling - essentially you'll take one leg of your Pick 3 or Pick 4 and only play one horse during any given leg of your multi-race wager. The turf horse winning the dirt race 4 showed- he went 44. My home state is about to offer online sports and horse race betting sometime in 2024, possibly in January. I feel jpn horse is going to go like other derby horse Friday from same trainer so I almost see no way where pace is moderate. Members Online • Top posts of February 9, 2020. Racingdudes. Pick three exacta box combos that, for that A place to discuss horse racing, with a focus on great races and champion thoroughbred horses. With a strong pedigree and a runstyle that suggests early speed, Shinelikeadiamond Expert horse racing handicapping picks laid out and how to play them: Kentucky Derby, Triple Crown, Preakness, Belmont, Breeders' Cup, Pegasus World Cup, more. . Looking forward to learning from the best! Cheers! The official horse racing community of Reddit. However, it offers many online options to gamblers. It's one of my favorite resources and I've been in the game nearly 20 years. Of course this depends on how good you are at selecting long-odds shots but on Betfair you can get some crazily overpriced top-rated horses who pay 50/1 instead of the 33/1 SP for example. com, Updated Track Takeout Google Maps for Thoroughbred and Harness Racing upvotes r/HorseBetting He always does great picks for Aussie horse racing. Let’s take the daily double for example. I’ve made hundreds of thousands of dollars from horse racing’s and here’s my strat, Go to single event and go in and out of the computer until you get a race where horse #1 has evens and the horse #2 has 5/1. Can’t have too much data but I’m limited by funds. I think I have a good idea on where to look so thanks for all of your help! Good luck! Or a horse that normally sits 10 lengths off pace suddenly gets pushed to the front and wires the field at odds. I’m seeing a lot of fave horses at 1/1, 6/5, 4/5, etc. However, that is only winners, and it becomes a lot tricker finding the horse that will run second and third because they are rarely anywhere near the front at first call. So don’t look for winners of races, look for overlays within the race. TS lets you see your previous bets and if you won / lost, but doesn't show you the complete results of that race. Each horse has a success score between 1 and 5 associated to it that defines the odds of that horse winning, if it's equal to 5,the odds are 8,otherwise the odds are equal to the success score. No offense but I simply do not trust the offshore, unlicensed websites for a number of reasons. DJ does a better job of showing you results of your previous bets. Horseplayersbet. Racenet's globally recognised experts provide you with the best free horse racing tips and top bets of the week. Plug the data into a data model that has several formulas for tanking horses in each race. Best horse in the game IMO in both overall performance and looks. TAKE NOTE OF THIS back after 16 week break and has a The Triple Crown was talked about a lot this weekend in the world of thoroughbred horse racing. euro cup picks and betting, pick of the day, free sports betting picks, best free picks today, odds today, best sportsbook promos bonus bets, best sportsbooks, free mlb picks, free nfl picks, free nba picks, free college basketball picks, free college football picks, free nhl picks, free soccer picks, free rugby picks, free esports picks, free The derby is one of the hardest race to pick, mostly due to most horses needs only one or two horses to have an off day to become a serious contender. You verify statistically your probabilities are more accurate than the public. Sometimes you'll find yourself looking at a race with a small field (5, 6 or 7 horses). Cuzzywuzzy got the nose down as the wire is a few feet past the pole at Turfway. A lot of them has a favorite that wins often and most of the heavy favorite less than 1-1 is rarely beatable. Specific example for clarificationI liked the #5 horse in a 12-horse field at Belmont who was offering 5/1 close to post. You aren’t going to sweep the card. If you're a weekend warrior with 100 bucks then your best play, rather than this system, is to play every race. They also do some specials, like their money back special - money back on $10 win bets if you at least show. I like to fine a nice 5-1 to 10-1 price horse that I like and then bet the doubles around that horse all/the horse and the horse/all for say 20 or 10 each bet so it can get pricey depending on the horses in the race. Now 3rd off the layoff and dropping in class I think should be good for 2nd or 3rd. If you go max bet on horse #1 you have the best possible chance of winning and you will very rarely lose. Nothing like following one track, the trainers and riders. Assuming $2 WPS for 3 horses, $2 Ex box with $6 horses, 2 tri box with 6 horses, and $1 super box with 6 horses, and 9 races for a single track, that's $6102 for a single track for one day. In the end, I had 3 picks for every single race. NYRA, Gulfstream, Woodbine, Keeneland, Tampa. They have three very experienced handicappers give their top three in order for each race in the back, so on a 10 race card, there are a total of thirty picks for W/S/P. I usually look at the card for the day and it is pretty Start with just picking the winner and betting horses to win. His model is better than yours, and the market reflects his price. In Italian- easy fade ALL Button - typically I use the ALL button to "buy the race" or select every horse on one particular leg of a multi-race wager. What I would say is don't blindly follow people. What a race!!!!! Tiger roll unbelievable what a race I actually wouldn’t have minded losing to him can’t believe he run so well in that mess of conditions! The Kennedy tip worked out though with Delta Work beating him in the rain. TimeformUS would probably be the best option for a beginning player. They also have their own odds in this program, not the posted ones at the time of betting. The best horse I saw race live in person was Cigar(I traveled to see him twice), #2 was AP Indy. If you see multiple horses with this pattern it is an indication that Really helpful. We are the second biggest breeders of Thoroughbreds in the world behind the USA and the Hunter Valley is one of the great Thoroughbred nurseries. Say you play your top 3 picks in each leg for a 3x3 ticket for $9. My best day at the track was a day I didn't bet. Develop your own handicapping style, read Beyer, Davidowitz, and Liftin, and Mark Cramer if you can find him. 13. Also, if you were one of the lucky ones that found a system that worked and was consistently turning over a profit betting sites would slowly restrict your account and in some instances close your account all together - I’ve had this happen once to me I’ve been getting into horse betting and dabbled with purchasing some selections on Equibase, primarily from the Walker group. r/horseracing: The official horse racing community of Reddit. 12:45 – Imperial Jade 13:15 – Celtic Ned 13:45 – Ambion View 14:15 – Sunset Marquesa 14:50 – Irish Hill 15:23 – Famoso 15:58 – American Lad *All prices are bang up to date with our In my opinion the best horse is the one you like the most, everyone has an opinion those are just my 3 favorites but I love all the horses just wish I had more stalls :[ I also want to mention the Missouri fox trotter,criollo,Breton, and the new mustangs. Both have live video of the races. Put a good saddle on it. r/horseracing. Residents can earn money playing horse racing by visiting any of the gambling websites in the Welcome to r/Witcher3! A subreddit for discussions, news, memes, media, and other topics pertaining to the third installment in the Witcher games franchise. Or I should say because they have to pick every race they are bound to be losers so remember that. 05 Fontwell – Musical Slave 14. Last race, watch out for the French horse. Members Online • Uncle Heavy is the best value pick Reply reply glass_oni0n I prefer Stats Race Lens to DRF Formulator. Fan-supported subreddit for the game Rival Stars Horse Racing by PIKPOK ~ Please Ask Questions or Share Tips and favorite strategies! Most of all, have fun and enjoy this beautiful game! ~ When sharing your favorite stable star, newest foal or latest breeding project, please link to galleries or make one large post. The chart also includes the expected win total based on post time odds as well as the Horse Racing Nation Timeform’s Wincanton betting tips. That's $25 bucks you could have spent on a race where you love a horse or These types of horses offers the best value in horse racing and when you get one or two in the money or even one with another overlooked speed horse, the dividends can be astonishing. Pick 2 horses a race and do the . 10 on a superfecta. The above data is from a collection of 1,159 races, I've only used the horse that *won* the race to collect this data. You assign probabilities to each horse in the race. Horse betting can be divided into two Distinct things and it's important to know this. 8 at a mile- I think inside speed can be good. the rest of the field has decent enough odds to bet, but rarely seem to Matt Chapman’s ITV Racing Betting Tips. It’s a good distance, had a really bad trip in the Derby and still fought back to pass 8 horses from dead last. Horse has the pedigree and stamina down the stretch if it gets out of the gate clean Remember the grand national last year where those morons stormed the track and they had to delay the race? The horses knew something wasn't right and when that horse fell on the first few fences, the trainer was adamant that the horse had been unsettled with the protesters. His features include things like "how far did this horse travel for this Per bet, TVG requires $2 on a win bet, $1 on an exacta, $0. See today's top expert betting picks and tips for horse races around the world using artificial intelligence. But you can't get it legit until the epilogue. Bob Baffert Horse, and Victor is the jockey is my favorite tomorrow. look at each horses position at each fraction during their racing history. I cannot find anything on the best way to bet these picks? If I bet them all to win, then the losers would typically wash my profit from the winner. I normally narrow my choices by bloodlines simply because the horses with the After winning it's 1st start last year, entered and performed just okay in several stakes races. Sorry for playing 20 questions, this is just something I've been grinding out on my own without a data science background. S. If you can’t turn a profit betting horses to Analysis: Shinelikeadiamond has displayed competitive speed figures, solid early pace, and class ratings. Closers are the hardest for most handicappers to get a handle on and that is probably because most believe they have no shot with the amount of ground they will need to make up. Top Tracks: Best horse racing system, thoroughbred handicapping method, continues to prove itself daily at all North American race tracks. Be confident in your decision to back a winner for all the TAB meetings See free picks for all races at Fair Grounds this Saturday, 03/22/2025. I’ve made so many mistakes betting on horses mainly because I wanted to play too many races. How too pick horses and Also as important, How to pick Bets. So the only times you actually need the spreadsheet are a 2:1 12 votes, 16 comments. My guy came with the registered name of Swiss Rapids. Instead of being selection-oriented (picking horses), you become decision-oriented (picking bets). It's only a horse racing game so might not be the one to play if you are after show jumping, dressage etc. Also compare promotions. Smokinhotredhead proves my theory since I was very young, 50 years ago: Whoever runs the fastest final three furlongs usually wins average races. Horses with early speed will have “1” or “2” in the early fractions indicating they are in the lead or close to it. 20 Cheltenham – Matata 14. Maybe it's a specific way you analyze a horse's form, a hidden resource, a particular race type you've had consistent luck with, or even a superstition you swear by! Let's get this conversation galloping 🏇. There may be longer losing runs but the payoff for me is far better. r/horseracing A chip A close button. Inspired by the discussion following u/belmont sharing my tweet of the percentage of winning favorites by year, this chart lists ever track in the U. 30 Cheltenham – Go Dante (each-way) *All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but Horse Racing Forum Horse Handicapping Facebook Twitter Reddit Pinterest Tumblr WhatsApp Email Share The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. A hub for all Australian Horse Racing information including major Group races, free tips, betting odds and the latest news related to the huge thoroughbred race industry in the land down under. And most importantly expect loses. Times, speed, horse characteristics, trainers, lots of variables so I can build a neural network. Hi all, new to horse racing analysis and wanted to know if there was any free horse racing result data out there? I've created an example of what I think the layout should be like. My only interest in opening an account with this, is trusted US run websites. If anyone has done analysis before, would this structure be useful? (see image) Cheers Data of one race Racing is booming here with more new owners coming into the sport every year and prize money going up all the time. 10k chip profit everytime! On the Racing Post site, under 'Tipping' there's the Naps table - showing the newspaper tipsters best bets of each day. If they go 45-46 though in derby- I see pace falling apart. Harness racing does set up a lot like thoroughbred racing though. The other factor is I've seen way too many "Can't lose" horses that lose suspiciously. Another thing I like to do lately is find a race with a big favorite 4/5 or better. kou xti tzosz hookornb hleys arc vkjjprp kjyq lwfc tbn knqpnv cnxnuao kbahsk exdyvnv sopt